ISSN (Print) - 0012-9976 | ISSN (Online) - 2349-8846

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Slowdown of the Economy:Which Way Out?

In the panic that has gripped Indian business and government policy circles, it is easy to recommend measures which can be best described as quick fixes. But it is important that quick fixes be avoided if long-term development is not to be compromised. The main reasons for the current slowdown are structural and must be addressed as such. This calls for boosting not any kind of government expenditures, but expenditures that will raise productivity. Alongside must be tackled the institutional impediments that continue to obstruct private investment. Ten years after the initiation of economic reforms it is urgently necessary now that we recognise the important role that the institutional environment plays in development.

Reviving the Economy

Since the beginning of the 1990s contractionary features inherent in public policies have resulted in a massive squeeze on investment in physical infrastructure in particular, and a sharp deterioration in the share of development in the government's total expenditure. All hopes have been pinned on the revival of industrial demand through possible improvement in agricultural growth in the current year following copious rainfall so far. However, because this beneficial impact, if it occurs, follows two years of falling incomes in the sector, it is not likely to be either significant or immediate. This note explores the possibilities of deploying the surfeit of liquidity in the financial system in a 'supply-leading' strategy for the development of railways and other physical infrastructures in order to kick start the economy.

Recession and Recovery

H T Parekh Many of the industries hit by recession depend upon Government purchases. In order to give a boost to the economy, such purchases should be made even if they involved resort to additional deficit financing.

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