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Russia–Ukraine War and the Changing World Order
Geopolitical consequences in the aftermath of Russian agression against Ukraine have once again underscored that there is no alternative to common and collaborative security which is inclusive. The double standards in implementing human rights and selective wars of aggression on smaller states by great powers have led to a delegitimisation of multilateral institutions and a world that is insecure for all.
The Russian illegal war in Ukraine has accelerated a shift in the world order forcing a renewed balance of power. Countries and analysts are calculating the implications of rebalancing and positioning for significant changes. Ukraine is ravaged; Russia is the aggressor and will suffer long-term consequences; the United States-(US) led North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) has strengthened and is forcing the rebalance, Europe is undergoing a human security crises and remilitarisation; China has made a strategic choice; India like many countries of the global South faces geostrategic pressure as they calibrate their positions. So what are these shifts, the implications, and consequences?
The Russian motives in launching this war on Ukraine include a mix of: aspirations for projecting Russian imperial power status and vision; extending influence and support to Russian ethnic and other dissatisfied minorities in the former
Soviet Republics; recreating a Russian sphere of influence to counterbalance the Western one in Eurasia; opposition to NATO expansion, especially the inclusion of Ukraine; attempt to destroy the Ukrainian military infrastructure to enforce neutrality before NATO could undermine Russia and the creation of an Eastern Ukraine buffer for Russian security in the Donbas region with the Russian ethnic majority provinces that had declared themselves independent of Donetsk, Luhansk, Crimea, all which give Russia strategic control over the Black Sea.
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