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Electoral Response to the Citizenship (Amendment) Bill in the North East

Vol. 54, Issue No. 34, 24 Aug, 2019
Commentary
Amongla Jamir, R K Satapathy, S Mangi Singh, Shreyas Sardesai
An examination of survey data is undertaken to understand why the Citizenship (Amendment) Bill issue did not affect the poll fortunes of the Bharatiya Janata Party in the North East. While it has caused widespread outrage in the region in the past many months, why then did it not dent the National Democratic Alliance’s electoral performance? Poll results in Manipur, Meghalaya and Nagaland are examined since these were the only states in the North East (other than Assam) where the Centre for the Study of Developing Societies–Lokniti conducted a post-poll survey. Local-level factors seem to explain the outcome better.

An Outlier in the North

Vol. 54, Issue No. 33, 17 Aug, 2019
Commentary
Jagrup Singh Sekhon, Ashutosh Kumar
The most significant development of the 2019 Lok Sabha elections in Punjab was the victory of the Congress, making the state an outlier in almost all of India, except for Kerala. Neither the Bharatiya Janata Party’s narrative of national security nor its strong leader could find much traction in the state. The significant loss of the core social constituency’s (read the Sikhs) support of the Shiromani Akali Dal and the decline or almost decimation of the Aam Aadmi Party were important developments of this election.

Election Results in Odisha

Vol. 54, Issue No. 33, 17 Aug, 2019
Commentary
Hilal Ahmed, Gyanranjan Swain
The 2019 elections in Odisha present a unique case where Narendra Modi becomes the most acceptable face as Prime Minister, but the Biju Janata Dal gets an upper hand in vote shares and seats. While the Bharatiya Janata Party has substantially gained in terms of vote share, the BJD has retained its popularity. The decline of Congress and the emergence of a women-centric political discourse in Odisha must be seen in this context.

A Big Pay-off for BJP’s Aggressive Campaign in Jharkhand

Vol. 54, Issue No. 33, 17 Aug, 2019
Commentary
Harishwar Dayal
The success of the Bharatiya Janata Party in Jharkhand in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections was enabled by the popularity of Narendra Modi as the prime ministerial candidate, people’s perception of the BJP being the saviour of the nation, and a sense of satisfaction with the performance of its government at the centre. However, most of these factors will not be able to mobilise the voters in favour of the party in the forthcoming assembly elections.

The Enigma of the 2019 Parliamentary Elections in Telangana

Vol. 54, Issue No. 33, 17 Aug, 2019
Commentary
H Vageeshan, Ramya Chitrapu
The first Lok Sabha election results after the formal creation of Telangana and its wider implications for both state and national politics are assessed. Coming as it did, within a few months of the state assembly polls, the electorate in the state made a clear distinction between the earlier state election verdict and the present verdict in the national election. What factors contributed to this change and what are the implications for the politics in the state?

NDA’s Big Victory in Bihar

Vol. 54, Issue No. 33, 17 Aug, 2019
Commentary
Mohammad Sanjeer Alam, Rakesh Ranjan
The National Democratic Alliance registered its best ever performance in Bihar in the Lok Sabha elections 2019. Not only did it win all but one seat, but it won mostly with huge margins. Two reasons stand out for the performance of the NDA: its reconstitution to include Janata Dal (United) and the high level of trust in the leadership of Narendra Modi. With assembly elections in the next year, it remains to be seen if and how the opposition alliance will be able to recuperate from its defeat.

The 2019 Lok Sabha Verdict

Vol. 54, Issue No. 32, 10 Aug, 2019
Commentary
Sandeep Shastri, Ashutosh Kumar, Yatindra Singh Sisodia
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BJP Replaces the Congress in Maharashtra

Vol. 54, Issue No. 32, 10 Aug, 2019
Commentary
Rajeshwari Deshpande, Nitin Birmal
Long known for its Congress system, Maharashtra is transiting into a new party system under the leadership of the Bharatiya Janata Party. The second consecutive victory for the BJP–Shiv Sena alliance in the Lok Sabha elections in 2019 attributes a leading role to the BJP in the politics of the state. With the help of the National Election Studies 2019 data, this article tries to decipher the aspects of the still unfolding political dominance of the BJP and comments on the prospects of the state politics in the context of upcoming state assembly elections.

BJP’s Sweeping Electoral Victory in Haryana

Vol. 54, Issue No. 32, 10 Aug, 2019
Commentary
Kushal Pal, Jyoti Mishra
The Bharatiya Janata Party’s sweeping victory in Haryana in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections has highlighted the changing nature of politics in the state. The BJP overshadowed the regional parties which used to be its coalition partners in past elections. Dynastic politics which was one of the main features of Haryana politics was rendered ineffective as the BJP was accepted across various socio-demographic indicators.

Elections in Andhra Pradesh

Vol. 54, Issue No. 32, 10 Aug, 2019
Commentary
E Venkatesu
The Yuvajana Sramika Rythu Congress Party, by defeating regional and national parties in the 2019 parliamentary and assembly elections in Andhra Pradesh, has secured a massive mandate. Its victory in this multiparty contest can be attributed to the padayatra , consistency in the stand for special category status, promise to implement welfare schemes, and its effective campaign.

Mumbai’s Dilapidated Buildings

Vol. 54, Issue No. 32, 10 Aug, 2019
Commentary
Chandrashekhar Khandekar
Almost every monsoon season brings news of buildings collapsing in Mumbai, particularly in the congested “city area,” though this is true of the suburbs and extended suburbs as well. The situation of “dilapidated buildings” and the miserable conditions of their occupants are examined here.

What Swayed the Delhi Voters towards BJP?

Vol. 54, Issue No. 32, 10 Aug, 2019
Commentary
Biswajit Mohanty
In a triangular contest in Delhi, the Bharatiya Janata Party won all the seven Lok Sabha seats. The National Election Study 2019 of the Centre for the Study of Developing Societies–Lokniti points towards three reasons for the BJP’s victory. The first is the increasing gravitation of Delhi voters towards the BJP in Lok Sabha polls. The second is the satisfaction of voters with BJP’s governance at the centre. The final factor is that the BJP gained votes among all segments of society.

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