ISSN (Print) - 0012-9976 | ISSN (Online) - 2349-8846

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MUMBAI- Justice by Encounters

Aggarwal. Mayawati's desperation, which had begun on the eve of September 21 on the speaker's issue, increased. But while consolidating upper caste MLAs, Kalyan Singh was also sending a message to the backwards. A near-complete upper caste shift in favour of the BJP would mean an increase of at least 3-4 per cent in the BJP's stable 33 per cent vote-base. In UP, unlike Bihar, upper castes still carry 40 per cent votes in certain constituencies and decide the poll outcome. But, and this is crucial, an upper caste wave would give the BJP additional votes of the backwards; the BJP had retained about 30 per cent of the backward vote in 1996, and another tilt of 5 per cent or so would alter the scales in its favour. The crucial role here can be played by the kurmis and the kocris who remain unaccommodated with the SP or the BSP.
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